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Democrats have a 10.5 lead in early votes

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You can't fully extrapolate early voting data this year as compared to previous years, simply because of COVID.

That said, given the early voting numbers, we are on pace, even expecting diminished day of voting totals, to exceed voter turnout from 2016. It's proven to be an immutable fact that greater voter turnout in Presidential elections favors the Democratic candidate, specifically from minority communities. 

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4 minutes ago, retrofade said:

You can't fully extrapolate early voting data this year as compared to previous years, simply because of COVID.

That said, given the early voting numbers, we are on pace, even expecting diminished day of voting totals, to exceed voter turnout from 2016. It's proven to be an immutable fact that greater voter turnout in Presidential elections favors the Democratic candidate, specifically from minority communities. 

In NV.......R's are leading in in-person early voting ..............D's leading in mail & drop off voting..............D's lead overall in NV at the moment 

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1 minute ago, UNLV2001 said:

In NV.......R's are leading in in-person early voting ..............D's leading in mail & drop off voting..............D's lead overall in NV at the moment 

Thanks great info. Any idea how it compares to 2016?

The Masters 5k road race All American.

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1 state.  North Carolina.  Where 25% of the 3.4 million early voters did not vote in 2016, when 3.1 million voted early.

In the beginning the Universe was created.
This has made a lot of people very angry and been widely regarded as a bad move.

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Just now, robe said:

Thanks great info. Any idea how it compares to 2016?

Roughly the same - only in 2016 most was just early in-person voting 

In NV it goes like this for statewide races

1) Dems try to build up large Dem lead in Clark County (LV area).......try to keep Washoe County (reno area) close to 50-50

2) Reps try to run up the rural numbers high as possible and hope to win Washoe by 4-5% 

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7 minutes ago, retrofade said:

You can't fully extrapolate early voting data this year as compared to previous years, simply because of COVID.

That said, given the early voting numbers, we are on pace, even expecting diminished day of voting totals, to exceed voter turnout from 2016. It's proven to be an immutable fact that greater voter turnout in Presidential elections favors the Democratic candidate, specifically from minority communities. 

It looks like you make up facts just like the propaganda you choose to watch and read. See the facts below. 
 

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/10/22/voter-turnout-2020-ranking-us-presidential-elections/6006793002/

The Masters 5k road race All American.

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1 minute ago, UNLV2001 said:

Roughly the same - only in 2016 most was just early in-person voting 

In NV it goes like this for statewide races

1) Dems try to build up large Dem lead in Clark County (LV area).......try to keep Washoe County (reno area) close to 50-50

2) Reps try to run up the rural numbers high as possible and hope to win Washoe by 4-5% 

So Clinton carried Nevada so I doubt Trump has a shot especially with Mormons bailing on Trump.

The Masters 5k road race All American.

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Just now, robe said:

So Clinton carried Nevada so I doubt Trump has a shot especially with Mormons bailing on Trump.

Clinton won by a decent margin in Clark & also won Washoe by 2 or 3% which was enough to overcome the rural & overall GOP vote

IF LDS are bailing on trump, that will hurt his numbers in NV by a % or two 

Caveat in NV is that we have "None of These Candidates" as a voting options.........so those R's that are against trump can vote that and still say they didn't back Biden - Expect that to be an option for a number of R's and NP's - It's an out for them 

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1 minute ago, UNLV2001 said:

Clinton won by a decent margin in Clark & also won Washoe by 2 or 3% which was enough to overcome the rural & overall GOP vote

IF LDS are bailing on trump, that will hurt his numbers in NV by a % or two 

Caveat in NV is that we have "None of These Candidates" as a voting options.........so those R's that are against trump can vote that and still say they didn't back Biden - Expect that to be an option for a number of R's and NP's - It's an out for them 

Well enjoy election night. I’ll be happy for you. You are a good guy.

The Masters 5k road race All American.

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3 minutes ago, UNLV2001 said:

In NV.......R's are leading in in-person early voting ..............D's leading in mail & drop off voting..............D's lead overall in NV at the moment 

North Carolina categorizes both in-person and absentee ballots as the same for early voting statistics. That said, Democrats have the lead in early voting proportion as things stand right now.

gbhHkg6.png

 

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9 minutes ago, robe said:

It looks like you make up facts just like the propaganda you choose to watch and read. See the facts below. 
 

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/10/22/voter-turnout-2020-ranking-us-presidential-elections/6006793002/

What you linked just stated with what I already said. We can't extrapolate these early voting numbers to compare to 2016 given COVID. 

Or were you talking about minority turnout, which isn't addressed in your article at all other than a passing mention referencing elections immediately following the Civil War. 

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There are several factors that probably are making it difficult on the pollsters this year. They have to account for a larger early voting, an increase in young voters, etc.

2016 is what most remember.

But Rasmussen in 2012 is also a good example. The right-leaning pollster called the election for Romney in their final poll that year. In the post-mortem Rasmussen said they were wrong with their poll because they expected the percentage of non-white voters to be same as 2008. Instead the percentage of non-white voters increased in 2012.

It will be interesting to see which pollsters correctly accounted for this year's electorate.

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3 minutes ago, retrofade said:

North Carolina categorizes both in-person and absentee ballots as the same for early voting statistics. That said, Democrats have the lead in early voting proportion as things stand right now.

gbhHkg6.png

 

Would love to see NC go to Biden - NC is another state like GA, TX & AZ that is becoming younger & more diverse 

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2 minutes ago, UNLV2001 said:

Would love to see NC go to Biden - NC is another state like GA, TX & AZ that is becoming younger & more diverse 

It's a dead heat here... every poll has it at razor thin margins within the MoE or just straight up tied. 

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2 minutes ago, FresnoFacts said:

There are several factors that probably are making it difficult on the pollsters this year. They have to account for a larger early voting, an increase in young voters, etc.

2016 is what most remember.

But Rasmussen in 2012 is also a good example. The right-leaning pollster called the election for Romney in their final poll that year. In the post-mortem Rasmussen said they were wrong with their poll because they expected the percentage of non-white voters to be same as 2008. Instead the percentage of non-white voters increased in 2012.

It will be interesting to see which pollsters correctly accounted for this year's electorate.

Seems that this election has a higher % of younger voters and that has to help Dems all over the country 

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16 minutes ago, robe said:

So Clinton carried Nevada so I doubt Trump has a shot especially with Mormons bailing on Trump.

My LDS buddy in St. George called last night to chat about the Dodgers. We hadn't spoken in a few months so topic evolved to politics. Eventually I got up the courage to inquire about how he would vote since when he lived here in SoCal he was an immense Reagan supporter. "Vote for Trump? Hell, no!" he said.

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6 minutes ago, FresnoFacts said:

There are several factors that probably are making it difficult on the pollsters this year. They have to account for a larger early voting, an increase in young voters, etc.

2016 is what most remember.

But Rasmussen in 2012 is also a good example. The right-leaning pollster called the election for Romney in their final poll that year. In the post-mortem Rasmussen said they were wrong with their poll because they expected the percentage of non-white voters to be same as 2008. Instead the percentage of non-white voters increased in 2012.

It will be interesting to see which pollsters correctly accounted for this year's electorate.

Interesting. It looks like at a glance Rasmussen has Biden in a tight one. Trump has 250 plus electoral votes. 

The Masters 5k road race All American.

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Just now, 818SUDSFan said:

My LDS buddy in St. George called last night to chat about the Dodgers. We hadn't spoken in a few months so topic evolved to politics. Eventually I got up the courage to inquire about how he would vote since when he lived here in SoCal he was an immense Reagan supporter. "Vote for Trump? Hell, no!" he said.

How did he vote in 16?

The Masters 5k road race All American.

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