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GAME THREAD: 2020 United States Presidential Election, featuring the Battle for Control of the Senate and the House

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Just now, mugtang said:

If those areas vote 70/30 for Biden and those are the votes outstanding then it makes sense. 

absentee will likely even have more of a biden slant than the normal distribution. in a 70/30 biden district, then absentee could be 80/20

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Just now, Rebels18 said:

Those vertical lines aren't just statistically improbable, they're impossible.

You're just loser working at a university dragging in $30k/yr--I think I'm better at math than you are.

i wish 

 

 

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11 minutes ago, retrofade said:

The only people who have been calling for ballots to stop being counted have been Trump and his supporters... like @Bob.

lest we forget @Rebels18

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Just now, smltwnrckr said:

absentee will likely even have more of a biden slant than the normal distribution. in a 70/30 biden district, then absentee could be 80/20

Trump thought the mail-ins would be heavily Democratic, then cast it as rigged early on, influencing his voters not to do them and thus self-fulfilling his prophecy. Incredible. 

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1 minute ago, Rebels18 said:

In every single state Trump was leading by a significant margin, overnight magically Biden got all the votes he needed while we're sleeping at 4am. 

didn't you witness that same thing in Ohio for Trump last night? and a host of other states

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4 minutes ago, Rebels18 said:

In every single state Trump was leading by a significant margin, overnight magically Biden got all the votes he needed while we're sleeping at 4am. 

What part of "day-of voters lean right, early voters/mail in voters lean left" can't you understand? None of the early votes were counted in the early part of last night while Trump was gloating about how the couldn't be caught... It's not "magic," Trump is just playing you like a fiddle.

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1 minute ago, youngredbullfan said:

Trump thought the mail-ins would be heavily Democratic, then cast it as rigged early on, influencing his voters not to do them and thus self-fulfilling his prophecy. Incredible

Quite credible, actually. Predictable, even.

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2 minutes ago, Rebels18 said:

In every single state Trump was leading by a significant margin, overnight magically Biden got all the votes he needed while we're sleeping at 4am. 

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-mirage-explainer-idUSKBN27H1A6
 

Quote

In Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, mail-in ballots cannot be counted until Election Day. While Michigan did recently pass a law that allows many cities to start processing mail-in ballots, such as opening ballot envelopes, the day before the election, they cannot begin to count votes.

Because mail-in ballots typically take longer to count than ballots cast in person, the initial results could skew Republican. Then, some experts say, expect a “blue shift” as election officials wade through the piles of mail-in ballots.

Pennsylvania and Wisconsin may be slowed by their lack of experience with high volumes of mail-in ballots. About one in 20 votes in the two states were cast by mail in the 2018 congressional election, compared to a quarter of Michigan’s votes and about a third of Florida’s.

There isn’t anything sketchy about this.  The red mirage effect has been reported for a long time and not to be shocked if the results shift as mail in ballots are counted. 

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Just now, Del Scorcho said:

I don't know if this was reported, but CNN just projected Maine's 4 electoral votes to Biden

That happened last night for other news networks. 

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12 minutes ago, Rebels18 said:

That vertical trendline is still unrealistic. It was 100% Biden votes to flip the state. 

no it wasn't. 

Go to  their State elections website and you can probably find the hourly updates combined with %of votes cointed by County.

When I went to bed at 2am Mst, The Counties  that contain Detroit,  Milwaukee, and Atl were [email protected] counted. That's a lot of uncounted Blue ballots. So, naturally,  you will see large swings in vote tallies .

Look at the entire  chart. Trump had big uptrends when the rural counties started  reporting.

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Just now, mugtang said:

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-mirage-explainer-idUSKBN27H1A6
 

There isn’t anything sketchy about this.  The red mirage effect has been reported for a long time and not to be shocked if the results shift as mail in ballots are counted. 

Those vertical lines on the voting graphs are statistically impossible. 

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17 minutes ago, RogueStout said:

Yeah all those military folks serving overseas should definitely not be able to vote. 

How about college kids who have to vote absentee ? Guv employees working out of state or the country. 

We can't be counting those votes. They lean Dem !

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2 minutes ago, Rebels18 said:

Those vertical lines on the voting graphs are statistically impossible. 

No they aren’t. 

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