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Corona Virus - How bad is it going to be?

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2 minutes ago, mugtang said:

 

 

2 minutes ago, UNLV2001 said:

 

Jinx

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1 hour ago, soupslam1 said:

Maybe those making the scary model predictions should come with a disclaimer that these predictions are based on very limited data and may not be as catastrophic as predicted. But we still request people practice distancing because we don’t really know what the impacts of this virus are going to be. In other words try and be truthful instead of trying to scare the shit out of people. 

They do have disclaimers like all models. Only a few people ever read the details on any model or published number.

It is like people who look only at the U-3 unemployment rate without realizing the revisions it undergoes later or without looking at U-1, U-2, U-4, U-5 and U-6.

For the IHME coronavirus models posted here, they have links on the pages to additional information that no one bothers to read on either side of the opinions. It is easier just to argue from a summary number.

Here are the explanations (disclaimers) of the model which include an archive as the models have changed.

http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates

http://www.healthdata.org/covid/faqs

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5 minutes ago, mugtang said:

 

So if Boris Johnson kicks the bucket will China now be on the hook for the death of a world leader? I'll be praying for him to make a full recovery, nobody deserves this. 

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1 hour ago, soupslam1 said:

Maybe those making the scary model predictions should come with a disclaimer that these predictions are based on very limited data and may not be as catastrophic as predicted. But we still request people practice distancing because we don’t really know what the impacts of this virus are going to be. In other words try and be truthful instead of trying to scare the shit out of people. 

All models have those disclaimers...???

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6 minutes ago, UNLV2001 said:

 

Trump gets shaken when things happen to people he knows personally. I wonder how he will react to the news.

When NY real estate developer Stanley Chera developed a serious case, Trump changed his comments on the virus.

 

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Have they designated someone to stand in for the PM?

 

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1 hour ago, retrofade said:

This might be helpful to you.

https://www.khanacademy.org/math/statistics-probability

I take back the shit I've said about Convert's mental acuity, he's damn near a genius in comparison to you.

edit: have fun with the idiot button, as it's about the only retort that you have left.

Have fun living with debilitating mental retardation. So you think by predicting one-two million deaths WITH strict social distancing in the beginning is a bang- up job by the modellers? These are the resources that politicians used to make important decisions like, you know, shutting the +++++ing economy down for weeks on end. ffs. Now that's it's apparent that the virus is nowhere near as deadly as initially declared (by them) they are adjusting their models downward to fit reality based on 'new data'. The underlying premise of their model was wrong. The assumptions used to develop their models were incorrect based on their "math and shit". What a useful resource they turned out to be! No basis in reality.

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2 minutes ago, Bob said:

Have fun living with debilitating mental retardation. So you think by predicting one-two million deaths WITH strict social distancing in the beginning is a bang- up job by the modellers? These are the resources that politicians used to make important decisions like, you know, shutting the +++++ing economy down for weeks on end. ffs. Now that's it's apparent that the virus is nowhere near as deadly as initially declared (by them) they are adjusting their models downward to fit reality based on 'new data'. The underlying premise of their model was wrong. The assumptions used to develop their models were incorrect based on their "math and shit". What a useful resource they turned out to be! No basis in reality.

gordon ramsey idiot GIF

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1 minute ago, retrofade said:

gordon ramsey idiot GIF

all you got is a gif. Classic. Can't fix stupid (you).

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Here's a previously unreleased clip of Bob.

stupid lloyd bridges GIF

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I'm waiting for Senator Duckworth to comment.

 

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Quote

Mr Johnson has asked Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab to deputise "where necessary", a spokesman added.

UK

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3 minutes ago, mysfit said:
Quote

Mr Johnson has asked Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab to deputise "where necessary", a spokesman added.

UK

Raab is called one of Johnson's true believers. Raab was Brexit Secretary under Teresa May. He resigned when he did not agree with her Brexit agreement.

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18 minutes ago, mysfit said:

Have they designated someone to stand in for the PM?

 

Just doing some quick googles, and it looks like there actually isn’t currently a line of succession for the PM position in the UK. Sounds like the Conservative party would just have to elect a new leader who would become the PM. Kind of crazy, although I wonder if this will prompt them to come up with a line of succession moving forward.

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46 minutes ago, Bob said:

So. Incredible.

You'll never get those experiences you lost back. All so a few old people, who've gotten to live their lives ,can sit in nursing home for 2.1333 more years before passing away.

Blah blah blah "Death Panels!" something something

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Boris has a 32 year old girlfriend who is pregnant.  Hopefully he pulls through.

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37 minutes ago, mugtang said:

 

Jinx

Now as per Nevada state law you both have to cough at the same time while taking each other's temperature with a rectal thermometer. :ph34r: 

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2 minutes ago, TheSanDiegan said:

Blah blah blah "Death Panels!" something something

What a pro lifer

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