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Corona Virus - How bad is it going to be?

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1 hour ago, retrofade said:

He's already been on record that the only thing that matters to him is the economy. Nevermind the fact that if we did nothing, the economy likely would have cratered, just in a different way

And much longer lasting ways. 

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45 minutes ago, soupslam1 said:

Maybe those making the scary model predictions should come with a disclaimer that these predictions are based on very limited data and may not be as catastrophic as predicted. But we still request people practice distancing because we don’t really know what the impacts of this virus are going to be. In other words try and be truthful instead of trying to scare the shit out of people. 

Maybe they shouldn’t come with disclaimers.

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1 hour ago, retrofade said:

Because it doesn't fit with his narrative that this wasn't ever a big deal to begin with. He's been brainwashed by idiots like his favorite uncle Rush Limbaugh, so it's not like we can expect anything even resembling critical thinking skills from him.

FIFY

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1 hour ago, Bob said:

It's functionally negligible. The death rate of coronavirus is not high enough to justify a complete shutdown of the economy. Tens of millions are out of jobs. Countless lives have been ruined.

 

I said "currently"

It is too early to make judgements on who made the correct decision to fight the virus. Deaths occur weeks after infection and will also be influenced by the availability of medical care.

Sweden's Prime Minister over the weekend warned that country to prepare for "thousands of deaths".

The PM also warned the country that the virus could last for months there.

That is the first time he has been so somber about it.

Thousands of deaths, if they occur, in Sweden with a population of 10 million will have impacts in many ways.

Then there are the medical costs. Current information indicates that coronavirus hospitalizations runs 2X or 3X longer stays compared to pneumonia. That ties up beds, limiting the access to medical care for other situations and increases the financial cost.

 

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Jaysus +++++ing cheerist

A PhD does not make someone a medical doctor. 

He (navarro) and Trump should be sued for practicing without a license.

What people have to lose is their lives and their health because these 2 +++++wads think they can use people as guinea pigs in order to bypass the slower but much safer method. Why? So the can open the economy and they and their 1% can go back to making money 

 

It is sick, twisted, unethical and just plain wrong.

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One of the Final Five..........

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1 hour ago, TheSanDiegan said:

This references the R0 metric and when that number is less than 1, the disease is no longer realizing a net spread within a population. Good job Norway.

 

The UK is saying early numbers there after the lockdown may show R0 at 0.62 after it had been running 2.6 prelockdown.

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Dudes

Bob has a forked tongue, a tail, horns and tater tots for brains. Please just put him on ignore rather than continuing to give him a platform.

Yes I have him on ignore but everyone keeps quoting him adding to the cacophony of idiocy.

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One of the Final Five..........

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2 minutes ago, mugtang said:

 

 

2 minutes ago, UNLV2001 said:

 

Jinx

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thelawlorfaithful, on 31 Dec 2012 - 04:01 AM, said:One of the rules I live by: never underestimate a man in a dandy looking sweater

 

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1 hour ago, soupslam1 said:

Maybe those making the scary model predictions should come with a disclaimer that these predictions are based on very limited data and may not be as catastrophic as predicted. But we still request people practice distancing because we don’t really know what the impacts of this virus are going to be. In other words try and be truthful instead of trying to scare the shit out of people. 

They do have disclaimers like all models. Only a few people ever read the details on any model or published number.

It is like people who look only at the U-3 unemployment rate without realizing the revisions it undergoes later or without looking at U-1, U-2, U-4, U-5 and U-6.

For the IHME coronavirus models posted here, they have links on the pages to additional information that no one bothers to read on either side of the opinions. It is easier just to argue from a summary number.

Here are the explanations (disclaimers) of the model which include an archive as the models have changed.

http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates

http://www.healthdata.org/covid/faqs

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5 minutes ago, mugtang said:

 

So if Boris Johnson kicks the bucket will China now be on the hook for the death of a world leader? I'll be praying for him to make a full recovery, nobody deserves this. 

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0918_FootballVBoise(Weir)6081.jpg.91934a8a511e3532b39599f1988bbacb.jpg

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1 hour ago, soupslam1 said:

Maybe those making the scary model predictions should come with a disclaimer that these predictions are based on very limited data and may not be as catastrophic as predicted. But we still request people practice distancing because we don’t really know what the impacts of this virus are going to be. In other words try and be truthful instead of trying to scare the shit out of people. 

All models have those disclaimers...???

Remember that every argument you have with someone on MWCboard is actually the continuation of a different argument they had with someone else also on MWCboard. 

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2 minutes ago, Bob said:

Have fun living with debilitating mental retardation. So you think by predicting one-two million deaths WITH strict social distancing in the beginning is a bang- up job by the modellers? These are the resources that politicians used to make important decisions like, you know, shutting the +++++ing economy down for weeks on end. ffs. Now that's it's apparent that the virus is nowhere near as deadly as initially declared (by them) they are adjusting their models downward to fit reality based on 'new data'. The underlying premise of their model was wrong. The assumptions used to develop their models were incorrect based on their "math and shit". What a useful resource they turned out to be! No basis in reality.

gordon ramsey idiot GIF

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3 minutes ago, mysfit said:
Quote

Mr Johnson has asked Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab to deputise "where necessary", a spokesman added.

UK

Raab is called one of Johnson's true believers. Raab was Brexit Secretary under Teresa May. He resigned when he did not agree with her Brexit agreement.

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