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Jackrabbit

Wag the Dog

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18 minutes ago, Jackrabbit said:

Our media is pushing/ wanting a recession when there are no outward signs of it.  It may work.

...desperate to get rid of Trump.

So...the institutional investors are all idiots and we shouldn't worry about the inverted yield curve?

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Short term bond yields exceeding long term bond yields has historically always preceded a slowdown. Media doesn’t control that. Trump’s idiotic trade policies don’t help. 

Thay Haif Said: Quhat Say Thay? Lat Thame Say

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Just now, Jackrabbit said:

Our media is pushing/ wanting a recession when there are no outward signs of it.  It may work.

...desperate to get rid of Trump.

Dude, all major indicators are pointing to a recession. 

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43 minutes ago, renoskier said:

So...the institutional investors are all idiots and we shouldn't worry about the inverted yield curve?

It's all a conspiracy...  The trick is getting millions of investors to play along and fall into the sneaky media's trap.  Everyone knows the stock market should go up forever and never have a dip every say, 6 to 7 years, on average.  Just picked that number out of the air.

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1 hour ago, Jackrabbit said:

Our media is pushing/ wanting a recession when there are no outward signs of it.  It may work.

...desperate to get rid of Trump.

Wasn't long ago your boys were screaming about Obama & his admin cooking the books on economic numbers - Times have changed !! 

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Just now, alum93 said:

It's all a conspiracy...  The trick is getting millions of investors to play along.

That's why we need INVESTOR ID's .........these people investing two, three & five or more times are obviously stealing the economy - Shut down the dead investing too :police:

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I don't bother with the bond market directly.  The fact is  that the US is about the only place on the world that is safe to put your money.  The rest of the world economies are not growing or are using negative interest rates that sont work.  During the best of times there is always something that is screwed up.  As long as the US labor market is strong with low interest and inflation rates we will be fine.

You guys love to root for failure and pain.

 

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1 hour ago, Jackrabbit said:

Our media is pushing/ wanting a recession when there are no outward signs of it.  It may work.

...desperate to get rid of Trump.

Categorically absurd. 

One such indicator is movement in the bond market. And Y2Y home sales are also raising some potential red flags:

US-Existing-home-sales-YOY-2019-04.png

But for me personally, the single biggest red flag - tho admittedly allegorical - is what a good friend who works in management for a Fortune 100 finance company told me after being sent to caucus with the chief economist at JP Morgan Chase (in either Jan 2017 or Jan 2018, I can't recall), who told this select group of finance all stars that they (JP Morgan Chase) were planning on an aggregate 5% economic growth over the next 5 years.

To get there from here would require a recession.

But in the end, one doesn't need friends in finance nor even an internet connection to know the old adage that "what goes up must come down." :shrug:

 

St-Javelin-Sm.jpgChase.jpg 

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The causes of inverted yield curve are many. There is flight to safety from overseas due to negative interest bonds from Eurozone and Japan. Even Janet Yellen says the cause of this inversion might not lead to a recession. Even if it does, it's about time we had one, hopefully short lived. The wall street traders like this volatility so they make money on the trades. That being said, there have been media people vocalizing hope for a recession so it would hurt Trump. With low unemployment and millions of jobs going begging, it's not a slam dunk there will be a recession unless the China trade remains pessimistic. There is no place to put your money in the World in the short term except the US.

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26 minutes ago, SharkTanked said:

You ascribe a lot of power to the media.

To his point though, market performance is highly dependent on investor confidence, and IMO the media does have the ability (in theory at least) to proverbially wag the dog.

St-Javelin-Sm.jpgChase.jpg 

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The orange nitwit is looking for anyone to pin the blame on for market fluctuations - he's got zero clue as to what's going on and looks like he's crapping himself because fooling people about the economy being his alone is in jeopardy & it's literally the only thing he can stand on as an election issue ...........the tweets should be coming fast & furious as the syphilitic mind of trump conjures up various ideas, conspiracies and whatever 

 

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2 hours ago, Jackrabbit said:

Our media is pushing/ wanting a recession when there are no outward signs of it.  It may work.

...desperate to get rid of Trump.

There are massive signs of a recession coming.

China is in recession it will be confirmed when the numbers come out.

Europe is very likely in recession.

 

A recession right now would be good for Trump as it will be recovered long before the election.

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36 minutes ago, UNLV2001 said:

The orange nitwit is looking for anyone to pin the blame on for market fluctuations - he's got zero clue as to what's going on and looks like he's crapping himself because fooling people about the economy being his alone is in jeopardy & it's literally the only thing he can stand on as an election issue ...........the tweets should be coming fast & furious as the syphilitic mind of trump conjures up various ideas, conspiracies and whatever 

 

Another round of tweets from a man who obviously is stable, mentally and emotionally.  Poor grammar, check.  Name calling, check.  Lots of capital letter and exclamation marks, check.  What a low bar he has set for future presidents.

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