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Nevada Convert

Some Perspective On Media Hype & Excitement w/Trump Being Down as much as 9 to Biden

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It’s a loooong way to go until Election Day. Mara Liasson at NPR tweeted this:

 

June 1983: Mondale 49% Reagan 39%

June 1991: George H.W. Bush 51%, Dem 28% Don't know 21% -

June 1995: Dole 48%, Clinton 44%

June 2011: Republican 44%, Obama 39%

July 2015: Hillary 59% Trump 34%

 

Holy crap!! Trump down 25 points to Hillary on July 1, 2015???

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.cnn.com/cnn/2015/07/01/politics/donald-trump-poll-hillary-clinton-jeb-bush/index.html

 

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19 minutes ago, Nevada Convert said:

It’s a loooong way to go until Election Day. Mara Liasson at NPR tweeted this:

 

June 1983: Mondale 49% Reagan 39%

June 1991: George H.W. Bush 51%, Dem 28% Don't know 21% -

June 1995: Dole 48%, Clinton 44%

June 2011: Republican 44%, Obama 39%

July 2015: Hillary 59% Trump 34%

 

Holy crap!! Trump down 25 points to Hillary on July 1, 2015???

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.cnn.com/cnn/2015/07/01/politics/donald-trump-poll-hillary-clinton-jeb-bush/index.html

 

Big difference,  Trump never has nor will get to 50% approval.  42% is his ceiling.   That is the difference between him and other Presidents who had temporary low numbers.  42% was their floor, not ceiling. 

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33 minutes ago, Akkula said:

Big difference,  Trump never has nor will get to 50% approval.  42% is his ceiling.   That is the difference between him and other Presidents who had temporary low numbers.  42% was their floor, not ceiling. 

As usual, you have zero clue. Zero. You do realize that Trump had a 46.1% against Hillary's 48.2% ????  That's higher than 42%, and neither had 50%. It's possible Trump might squeak past 50%, but he'll probably win in the upper 40's. 

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The Padres were four games up on the Dodgers in April

“Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts.”

-Richard Feynman

"When buying and selling are controlled by legislation, the first things to be bought and sold are legislators."

-P.J. O’Rourke

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36 minutes ago, Nevada Convert said:

As usual, you have zero clue. Zero. You do realize that Trump had a 46.1% against Hillary's 48.2% ????  That's higher than 42%, and neither had 50%. It's possible Trump might squeak past 50%, but he'll probably win in the upper 40's. 

If Trump ran vs Hillary again he could get 46% again because she is so unpopular.  She would get over 50% though after the disaster of Trump.  Since lightning won't strike in the same location twice for that lucky SOB, Trump will lose to any Democrat with a pulse this time as the polls show.  Nobody should have been surprised Hillary lost after her terrible performances against Obama and Bernie.

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1 hour ago, Nevada Convert said:

It’s a loooong way to go until Election Day. Mara Liasson at NPR tweeted this:

 

June 1983: Mondale 49% Reagan 39%

June 1991: George H.W. Bush 51%, Dem 28% Don't know 21% -

June 1995: Dole 48%, Clinton 44%

June 2011: Republican 44%, Obama 39%

July 2015: Hillary 59% Trump 34%

 

Holy crap!! Trump down 25 points to Hillary on July 1, 2015???

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.cnn.com/cnn/2015/07/01/politics/donald-trump-poll-hillary-clinton-jeb-bush/index.html

 

Too lazy to look this up, but how far down was Trump to the other GOP candidates at this point in the 2016 election?  He had to be down near the bottom, similar to where Mike Gravel is in the Dem polls today.

The World Needs More Cowboys!

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1 minute ago, pokebball said:

Too lazy to look this up, but how far down was Trump to the other GOP candidates at this point in the 2016 election?  He had to be down near the bottom, similar to where Mike Gravel is in the Dem polls today.

He was at about 6% right now in 2015 and had seen quite a bit of recent growth (Right now on the Democratic side, Beto, Kamala, Buttigeig, and Booker are right in that ballpark).  After the 4th of July he made a huge jump up to 24% by the middle of July.

The difference is back in 2015, there wasn't one or two major candidates like Biden (30%ish) and Bernie (15-20%ish).  There were 8 or so different republicans all with 7-15% in the polls early that summer.

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