Jump to content
thedude15

And there goes the MW's chance for a 2nd at large bid...

Recommended Posts

I thought USU had a chance for an at large bid if they ended the regular season winning their last 8 (ie including win vs Nevada) and winning at least one game in the MWT. But the loss @SDSU pretty much eliminates them in my book. Even at 27-7 (going 7-0 the rest of the way in the regular season and losing in the MWT finals) I am guessing they will be left out. If they get to 8 loses their is zero chance they will get an at large bid. 

Oh well we can still get two bids provided Nevada does not win the MWT. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
20 minutes ago, thedude15 said:

I thought USU had a chance for an at large bid if they ended the regular season winning their last 8 (ie including win vs Nevada) and winning at least one game in the MWT. But the loss @SDSU pretty much eliminates them in my book. Even at 27-7 (going 7-0 the rest of the way in the regular season and losing in the MWT finals) I am guessing they will be left out. If they get to 8 loses their is zero chance they will get an at large bid. 

Oh well we can still get two bids provided Nevada does not win the MWT. 

I dont think they would have beaten Nevada. Nevada is playing really well right now

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

They still have a shot, but are going to need to beat Nevada which is certainly possible in Logan. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

They still have an NET of 39. They can’t afford any more regular season losses. If they win them all their record would be 25-6 and their NET would be in the twenties. That would get them in. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

As far as USU nonconference opponents go, Arizona State picked up an important win over Washington yesterday.  They're smack dab on the bubble.

And UC Irvine is just outside the NET top-100 while building up a 2.5 game lead in the BW.  Seeing them in double figures will only boost USU as they crushed the Anteaters in Irvine.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
15 hours ago, soupslam1 said:

They still have an NET of 39. They can’t afford any more regular season losses. If they win them all their record would be 25-6 and their NET would be in the twenties. That would get them in. 

Given it's the first year the selection committee will be relying on the new NET metric, nobody really knows to what degree they will when selection time rolls around. :shrug:

I can think of (more than) a couple instances when MWC teams that should have received an at-large based on RPIs in the low 30s but were snubbed, when for better-or-worse the RPI was the SC's guiding metric.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
21 minutes ago, TheSanDiegan said:

Given it's the first year the selection committee will be relying on the new NET metric, nobody really knows to what degree they will when selection time rolls around. :shrug:

I can think of (more than) a couple instances when MWC teams that should have received an at-large based on RPIs in the low 30s but were snubbed, when for better-or-worse the RPI was the SC's guiding metric.

More than a couple? #30 Air Force in 2007 and maybe one more?

edit #29 CSU in 2015

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 minutes ago, TheSanDiegan said:

Given it's the first year the selection committee will be relying on the new NET metric, nobody really knows to what degree they will when selection time rolls around. :shrug:

I can think of (more than) a couple instances when MWC teams that should have received an at-large based on RPIs in the low 30s but were snubbed, when for better-or-worse the RPI was the SC's guiding metric.

most of those were after that disastrous year where the MWC got 5 teams in off the back of a high RPI ranking and faceplanted horribly.

 

The Baggies are on the absolute razor's edge of an at-large bid...It will be very, very close.  If they finish the year 27-8 i think they get in, they just absolutely cannot afford a non-nevada loss.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

oh god i just realized if USU and Fresno both close at 14-4 in conference play the seeding goes to record against highest seeded common opponent, and that will be SDSU unless the Aztecs crash and burn down the stretch...and in this hypothetical Fresno gets the 2 seed from sweeping the Aztecs.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The committee might be more favorable to USU this year given the lack of very many western teams with any credibility. I think the PAC gets two teams in at most, likely only one unless UW loses the conference tournament. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Little to no chance for USU. Had we defeated ASU or Houston we would be in a much better position. Going to have to win out until the MWT final, and then lose to Nevada, to have a chance to get in.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, renoskier said:

More than a couple? #30 Air Force in 2007 and maybe one more?

edit #29 CSU in 2015

A couple then. The point stands.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Pac-12 may only get one or two teams into the tournament this year, with the talk revolving around Arizona St and Washington. Right now some have Arizona St as one of the last four teams in. If someone other than those two win the Pac-12 tournament than Washington or ASU is going to get bumped. 

Some still have USU on the bubble to get in however their margin is a bit thin now. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Jerry Palm updated his new bracket for today and he has USU as one of the first four out on his bracket behind Arkansas and Georgetown

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 2/10/2019 at 10:12 AM, thedude15 said:

I thought USU had a chance for an at large bid if they ended the regular season winning their last 8 (ie including win vs Nevada) and winning at least one game in the MWT. But the loss @SDSU pretty much eliminates them in my book. Even at 27-7 (going 7-0 the rest of the way in the regular season and losing in the MWT finals) I am guessing they will be left out. If they get to 8 loses their is zero chance they will get an at large bid. 

Oh well we can still get two bids provided Nevada does not win the MWT. 

You were crazy if you thought utah state was ever getting an at large. That's just laughable.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Let's be realistic.  Utah State will probably lose 2 more games before the MWC tourney.  This conference, at no point, has been a 2 bid conference.  It's a 1 bid league with a really good 1 bid.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
21 hours ago, soupslam1 said:

They still have an NET of 39. They can’t afford any more regular season losses. If they win them all their record would be 25-6 and their NET would be in the twenties. That would get them in. 

Yup. It's like we are suddenly realizing what we already knew.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The rest of USUs schedule is very favorable. They should win all other than Nevada. IMO that game will determine if they get selected as an at large. I like their chances in Logan. They played Nevada pretty tough in Reno. The Logan atmosphere will be bonkers. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×