pokerider Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, sebasour said: I think The GOP gains a seat in The Senate, with The "blue wave" hitting the house and giving it to The Democrats. The Senate map just isn't favorable in 2018 for us Democrats. 2020 should really be the hope for a blue wave if you're a lefty. 21 Republican Senators have to defend their seats while only 12 Democrats do. Throw in Trump having to run for reelection and congressional redistricting after the census, and the Democrats have a chance at some real power. I think the Republicans will hold in Alaska, Ark, Georgia, Idaho, Kansas, Kentucky, Loiusiana, Montana, Neb, S.Car, S.Dak, Tenn, Texas, WV and Wyoming. These will be the states Dems have best chance in - Colorado, Cory Gardner, however he has maintained decent popularity N.Carolina - Thom Tillis - barely won last time Iowa - Joni Ernst - she's a big foe of dems Maine - Susan Collins - dems already spending there However Dems will likely lose the current senate seat in Alabama that they won due to Roy Moore. And Michigan and New Hampshire will be in play. So I think best Dems could hope for is a pickup of 2-3 Senate seats. But they could end up losing 1-2 seats too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sebasour Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 10 minutes ago, pokerider said: I think the Republicans will hold in Alaska, Ark, Georgia, Idaho, Kansas, Kentucky, Loiusiana, Montana, Neb, S.Car, S.Dak, Tenn, Texas, WV and Wyoming. These will be the states Dems have best chance in - Colorado, Cory Gardner, however he has maintained decent popularity N.Carolina - Thom Tillis - barely won last time Iowa - Joni Ernst - she's a big foe of dems Maine - Susan Collins - dems already spending there However Dems will likely lose the current senate seat in Alabama that they won due to Roy Moore. And Michigan and New Hampshire will be in play. So I think best Dems could hope for is a pickup of 2-3 Senate seats. But they could end up losing 1-2 seats too. I mostly agree though I think 4-5 is possible as I could see Montana and Georgia being competitive too. Granted I also give Trump a much higher chance of being reelected than most of my fellow Liberals do. It's too early to tell, but either way anyone who wants a blue wave needs it to hit in 2020. Gaining anything other than The House was always going to be a tall task this year Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
retrofade Posted November 5, 2018 Author Share Posted November 5, 2018 13 minutes ago, pokerider said: I think the Republicans will hold in Alaska, Ark, Georgia, Idaho, Kansas, Kentucky, Loiusiana, Montana, Neb, S.Car, S.Dak, Tenn, Texas, WV and Wyoming. These will be the states Dems have best chance in - Colorado, Cory Gardner, however he has maintained decent popularity N.Carolina - Thom Tillis - barely won last time Iowa - Joni Ernst - she's a big foe of dems Maine - Susan Collins - dems already spending there However Dems will likely lose the current senate seat in Alabama that they won due to Roy Moore. And Michigan and New Hampshire will be in play. So I think best Dems could hope for is a pickup of 2-3 Senate seats. But they could end up losing 1-2 seats too. The GOP has to defend Arizona in 2020 as well... it'll be a special election to serve the final two years of McCain's seat. With how wide open the current race there is, you'd have to put it in the mix as a Democrat target as well. The Democrats are also likely to come at Lindsey Graham HARD (assuming he isn't the AG by then)... that's not to say they'll have anyone that can stand a chance, but if they find a Beto-esque candidate, expect them to throw money into that race. You're very correct about Tillis being a target... he's in an interesting position of being disliked by Trumpians for continuing the Senate Intelligence investigation into Russian interference in the election, but disliked by the Democrats because he's been a pretty stalwart defender of Trump and has gone with Trump's agenda for the most part. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toonkee Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 This is how dumb he thinks you are. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pokerider Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 11 minutes ago, toonkee said: This is how dumb he thinks you are. Do you mean like in Detroit where more people voted than were on the voting roles? Pretty impressive to get over 100% voter turnout! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toonkee Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 6 minutes ago, pokerider said: Do you mean like in Detroit where more people voted than were on the voting roles? Pretty impressive to get over 100% voter turnout! That wasn't the point but if you insist... "The discrepancy did not involve Detroit's recording more votes than registered voters, but rather precinct poll workers miscounting the number of people who voted." The point was you've got to be super dumb to just take the word of someone that offers "many people are saying" "and in my opinion" as proof of a claims. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toonkee Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 Blue wave looks likely in Nevada. https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/predictions-for-tuesday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
retrofade Posted November 5, 2018 Author Share Posted November 5, 2018 So.... Trump's last of three rallies today is going to be co-co-headlined by not only Sean Hannity, but Rush Limbaugh as well. Is that just desperation at that point? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
retrofade Posted November 6, 2018 Author Share Posted November 6, 2018 So there are a lot of Governors mansions up for grabs still. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jackmormon Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 11 hours ago, Joe from WY said: I think Gillum loses. I also could be totally wrong. At the end of the day, I think at the end of the day the GOP will control the Senate and the Dems will control the House, each by thin margins. This “cotton pickin’”election is too important to “monkey up.” Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
modestobulldog Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 It's ok not to vote. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebelbacker Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 6 hours ago, jackmormon said: This “cotton pickin’”election is too important to “monkey up.” Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
retrofade Posted November 6, 2018 Author Share Posted November 6, 2018 How To Watch The Midterms: An Hour-By-Hour Guide State-by-state poll times Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
retrofade Posted November 6, 2018 Author Share Posted November 6, 2018 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
retrofade Posted November 6, 2018 Author Share Posted November 6, 2018 /r/politics is brutal today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
modestobulldog Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 Finally, we get to vote on the referendum regarding the russkies, Trump impeachment, and Kavanaugh! Turnout is going to be yuuge. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mugtang Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 My unofficial prediction: Dems take the House. Nancy Pelosi is elected speaker...again GOP picks up 1 Senate seat In Nevada Rosen wins Laxalt by the skin of his teeth All questions except 3 pass Quote thelawlorfaithful, on 31 Dec 2012 - 04:01 AM, said:One of the rules I live by: never underestimate a man in a dandy looking sweater Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mugtang Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 P.S. there’s no such thing as the House or Senate popular vote. So regardless of outcome, don’t bring up that talking point. Ok? Thanks. Quote thelawlorfaithful, on 31 Dec 2012 - 04:01 AM, said:One of the rules I live by: never underestimate a man in a dandy looking sweater Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
modestobulldog Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 Fresno polling place changed over black lives matter banner. State laws says the environment and location has to be politically neutral. http://amp.fresnobee.com/news/politics-government/election/article220919265.html I think the same could be said if there was a Make America Great Again banner as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thelawlorfaithful Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 Once more unto the breach, dear friends, once more 3 Quote We’re all sitting in the dugout. Thinking we should pitch. How you gonna throw a shutout when all you do is bitch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...