kingpotato Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 55 minutes ago, sactowndog said: Working the reverse Jobo angle I see. Just calling it like I see it. There are certainly ways Boise can win, but if they were to play 10 games, Fresno would win the majority this year. Fresno has gotten progressively stronger throughout the season, where Boise has done the opposite. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bsu_alum9 Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 33 minutes ago, BSUTOP25 said: Not really. Aside from the extreme homers, a majority of Bronco fans I know are anticipating a Fresno win. I guess I'm an extreme homer for thinking my team has a chance at home as a 3 pt. dog. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingpotato Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 1 hour ago, SBBulldog85 said: Biggest problem with your premise is those 2017 teams no longer exist. Fresno's 2018 team is better both offensively and defensively than last year's team In 2017, Fresno had the 72nd ranked total offense and 15th ranked total defense In 2018, Fresno has the 47th ranked total offense and 14th ranked total defense Boise's 2018 team is better offensively and WORSE defensively than last years team In 2017, Boise had the 57th ranked total offense and 21st ranked total defense In 2018, Boise has the 21st total ranked offense and 42nd ranked total defense so Boise's offensive strength will be pitted against Fresno's defensive strength last year Fresno was 9 point underdogs going into Boise this year Fresno is 3 point favorites going into Boise, that is a 12 point swing in Fresno's favor The injuries on defense have caught up to them. They had a to 20 defense in the first part of the season, but they've given up big chunks the 2nd part. The two look very comparable offensively, but defensively Fresno has a big upper hand. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TrueAg Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 Even after watching nine weeks of games I have no idea what to make of this match up. All I now is this: BSU does not look like their normal dominant selves - partly due to their OL and lack of ability to just run over teams when needed, partly due to key injuries mounting up Fresno St. has looked comfortably in control of nearly every game. Fresno St. defensive numbers are partly inflated due to a truly horrid lineup of offenses they have faced all season. Also aided by playing an uncharacteristically poor UCLA team early in the season, a Gangi-less UNR, a WYO that was still playing Vander Waal, etc. BSU's pass defense can be taken advantage of (currently #74 in pass yards allowed - that is CSU bad) Rypien can look incredible on one drive and hapless the next Fresno St. has not faced a single team that has a positive Football Power Index rating. There are currently 67 FBS schools with a positive FPI rating and BSU will be the first one that Fresno St. has faced all season (and will be the only one unless they face USU in a MWCCG). On the surface it appears Fresno St. should win this game but the stats say this is by far the best team they have faced to this point. So how will they react? How will BSU cope with potential key losses on both sides of the ball? I don't see this game getting away from either team so I think it will come down to the wire. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bsu_alum9 Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 28 minutes ago, kingpotato said: The injuries on defense have caught up to them. They had a to 20 defense in the first part of the season, but they've given up big chunks the 2nd part. The two look very comparable offensively, but defensively Fresno has a big upper hand. Not vs. common opponents: Nevada held Fresno to 30 yards rushing and 241 passing. (271 total) Nevada the next week held Boise to 207 yards rushing and 299 passing (506 total) Wyoming (#3 D in MW) held Fresno to 104 yards rushing and 287 yards passing (391 total) Wyoming held Boise to 161 yards rushing and 345 yards passing (506 total) --- Fresno has played the #4,7,8,10,11,12 ranked scoring defenses in conference so far. Boise has played the #2,4,6,7, 11. So Fresno's offensive stats are a bit inflated by that as well. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingpotato Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 38 minutes ago, bsu_alum9 said: Not vs. common opponents: Nevada held Fresno to 30 yards rushing and 241 passing. (271 total) Nevada the next week held Boise to 207 yards rushing and 299 passing (506 total) Wyoming (#3 D in MW) held Fresno to 104 yards rushing and 287 yards passing (391 total) Wyoming held Boise to 161 yards rushing and 345 yards passing (506 total) --- Fresno has played the #4,7,8,10,11,12 ranked scoring defenses in conference so far. Boise has played the #2,4,6,7, 11. So Fresno's offensive stats are a bit inflated by that as well. Good stuff. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IanforHeisman Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDoggFather Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 Opposed to the real murderer's row Boise has faced... Troy 41/61 UConn 129/80 OkSt 66/10 Wyo 30/124 SDSU 10/110 Reno 76/58 CSU 107/63 AFA 38/81 BYU 26/118 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rofl_copter_dos Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 fresno hasn't been tested yet, sure. Boise has and has failed twice. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
godogsgo Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 This thread is full of people who see what they want to see... ...im seeing a delicious NY strip later tonite. Mmmm. Lots of butter. 1 Quote San Jose StateAnnounced: 85,235Scanned: 33,892Percentage: 39.8%Actual Attendance Per Game: 5,648 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rev McQuervo Posted November 7, 2018 Share Posted November 7, 2018 The GooFers...lol Fresburg is getting leveled these next two weekends! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
godogsgo Posted November 7, 2018 Share Posted November 7, 2018 13 minutes ago, Rev McQuervo said: The GooFers...lol Fresburg is getting leveled these next two weekends! New mexico. Lol Quote San Jose StateAnnounced: 85,235Scanned: 33,892Percentage: 39.8%Actual Attendance Per Game: 5,648 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingpotato Posted November 7, 2018 Share Posted November 7, 2018 https://www.si.com/college-football/2018/11/05/fresno-state-boise-state-odds-picks-betting-preview He says lay the points as well. Confidence level: "Very High" I'm surprised the line hasn't moved more. I think there might be one of those game day smart-money dumps on Fresno. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DestinFlPackfan Posted November 7, 2018 Share Posted November 7, 2018 3 hours ago, godogsgo said: This thread is full of people who see what they want to see... ...im seeing a delicious NY strip later tonite. Mmmm. Lots of butter. Love a N.Y. strip...but lots of butter? Unless you meant stripper and lots of butter, then I concur. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tailingpermit Posted November 7, 2018 Share Posted November 7, 2018 3 hours ago, godogsgo said: This thread is full of people who see what they want to see... ...im seeing a delicious NY strip later tonite. Mmmm. Lots of butter. Just because Golden Coral calls it a NY strip doesn’t mean it is. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dogs4Me Posted November 7, 2018 Share Posted November 7, 2018 I hate the donks, but I do respect them. Anything can happen. 1 Quote Quote Mike Bronson, on 27 Sept 2013 - 8:45 PM, said: Don't be mad because the refs are going to need Tommy John surgeries after this poorly played game. Quote mugtang, on 27 Sept 2013 - 8:49 PM, said: Your mom is going to need Tommy John surgery after jerking me off all night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingpotato Posted November 7, 2018 Share Posted November 7, 2018 6 minutes ago, Dogs4Me said: I hate the donks, but I do respect them. Anything can happen. It's good having Fresno good again. It isn't fun beating them when they're dog shet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingBronco Posted November 7, 2018 Share Posted November 7, 2018 4 hours ago, bsu_alum9 said: I guess I'm an extreme homer for thinking my team has a chance at home as a 3 pt. dog. Yeah, not sure why all the angst from some BSU fans. Fresno has been smoking teams but only a couple of their opponents could even be considered decent. The two best teams they've beaten on paper were either missing their starting QB (Nevada) or their QB went down early in the game (Toledo). I definitely think Fresno is a very good team but I'm not convinced they are significantly better than BSU, I think they are probably slightly better (and much healthier) right now, but our homefield advantage may negate that. Friday will tell the tale as to how the teams actually stack up, but I can easily see one fortuitous bounce allowing BSU to win a tight game. I also wouldn't be shocked if Fresno won by multiple scores but I wouldn't be shocked if BSU did the same to Fresno either. I'm also curious to see how Fresno would respond if the game remains close throughout--they haven't experienced much adversity or game pressure after halftime since their opener with Minny. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DestinFlPackfan Posted November 7, 2018 Share Posted November 7, 2018 43 minutes ago, KingBronco said: Yeah, not sure why all the angst from some BSU fans. Fresno has been smoking teams but only a couple of their opponents could even be considered decent. The two best teams they've beaten on paper were either missing their starting QB (Nevada) or their QB went down early in the game (Toledo). I definitely think Fresno is a very good team but I'm not convinced they are significantly better than BSU, I think they are probably slightly better (and much healthier) right now, but our homefield advantage may negate that. Friday will tell the tale as to how the teams actually stack up, but I can easily see one fortuitous bounce allowing BSU to win a tight game. I also wouldn't be shocked if Fresno won by multiple scores but I wouldn't be shocked if BSU did the same to Fresno either. I'm also curious to see how Fresno would respond if the game remains close throughout--they haven't experienced much adversity or game pressure after halftime since their opener with Minny. Outsiders pick here. Boise 27 Fresno 24. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeffkills Posted November 7, 2018 Share Posted November 7, 2018 Harsin should try to put together some type of game-plan where we win the game at home... For fu/ck’s sake... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...