Rebelbacker

They did send us Rush though. Neil Peart goes a long way for my good feelings about Canada. He's so good I can overlook how much they love eating poutine.

Those people are wrong. In 2016 Trump had a 120k lead by party. GOP is already well above that and growing. It's just after 5pm in most of the state and 4pm in the panhandle. Expect a new wave of GOP voters getting off work.

She did grow up in Canada....

#Notmypresident #Resistance Is that how that works?

This should be D+30

Hillary carried far more hispanics and blacks in Broward and Dade than Biden will. Trump will pull Bush numbers with hispanics. The margins in South Florida won't be nearly enough to counter the panhandle.

Wait until the afternoon. The lead will expand in Florida. The story no one is talking about now but will in the coming days is the ground game for Trump. That is turning out low propensity voters in mass in multiple states. That's where the campaign money went into. Biden didn't have a ground game until the last few weeks. Too late.

The missing ED county votes are red counties. Panhandle is an hour behind.

That data is based on polls. I'm basing it on voter registration, early voting numbers, voter files, party votes left etc. Basing anything on the polls alone will not age well.

Florida will be an early call for Trump. The South Florida numbers look very bad for Biden.

Fair enough. Trump wins Georgia by 3-4%

Exit polls are always off. Don't believe any of them.

Florida will be called early for Trump. Biden may not even win Dade county. NC and Georgia will go Trump. Georgia will not be close. I'll bet you $500 right now Biden won't win PA by 5 or 6.

The coalitions have changed. Trump will get 15-23% of the black vote and around 40% of hispanic vote. Working class voters are coming out in droves. Independents are breaking to Trump. Trump lost NH by 3000 votes in 16 and the universities with their GOTV are not in session there. MN and WI strength for Trump has increased. MN will be close but I think Trump wins. Trump has the far superior ground game and today it will show. Record turnout for GOP today. Low propensity voters are turning out for Trump.

2 states. MN and NH.

Mine does.

Trump wins Iowa by 6 or more and drags Ernst across the finish line.

I'll post it tonight as well as my thoughts behind it.

He may regret this one. He was already wrong on voter registration. He's off of the remaining GOP vote and he's off on crossover vote. I'm not saying Trump wins Nevada yet, but it's way closer than Ralston has it.

Noted. How about a virtual hug? Would that make you feel better?

This has nothing to do with Trump being a good guy. I don't care if he's a good guy or not I just care about results. This is about facts. When you make claims I respond to them. If you are wrong and I have evidence I call you out just like you would me or anyone else. I have no idea about you as a person. I have no beef with you as a person, on the contrary you seem like a good dude.