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FresnoFacts

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  1. There is different data available and different countries operate with different standards. But most of the studies I have seen indicate the US has a lower number of doctors per capita than many other countries. A few comparison countries from this study from Kaiser Family Foundation of practicing physicians: US - 2.6 per 1,000 residents UK - 2.8 per 1,000 France - 3.2 per 1,000 Australia - 3.7 per 1,000 Sweden - 4.1 per 1,000 Germany - 4.3 per 1,000 https://www.healthsystemtracker.org/indicator/quality/physicians-per-capita/ During the 1980s and 1990s admissions to medical schools in the US were basically flat even as the US population grew. In 2006, the Association of American Medical Colleges called on its members to begin increasing admissions to avoid a future crisis. The existing schools increased admissions and new medical schools and new osteopathic schools opened. This chart shows the lack of growth for several decades followed by an increase in medical school admissions after 2006. https://www.aamc.org/system/files/reports/1/factsdatachart3.pdf But it takes time to move a doctor through school, residency, etc. Then of course there is a cohort retiring, About 45% of active physicians are over the age of 55. https://www.aamc.org/data-reports/workforce/interactive-data/active-physicians-age-and-specialty-2017 The other issue is where doctors are located. There are many areas in the US with fewer physicians per capita available than in other areas.
  2. Many students do not learn well in distance learning, one of the outcomes I think that will be realized from the lockdowns. There will need to be a mix of educational styles. But I agree there will be more distance learning offered in the future. What does need to speed up is the NCAA's view of athletics and distance learning. The NCAA has been about school having to be reopened after coronavirus for athletics to operate. But in a future scenario with more distance learning even without coronavirus, if a University has 75% or more of its classes online vs a school with only 25% online how is the definition of student-athlete impacted.
  3. The 25th amendment says "Whenever there is a vacancy in the office of the Vice President, the President shall nominate a Vice President who shall take office upon confirmation by a majority vote of both Houses of Congress." That would be a Congressional spectacle to watch.
  4. That is fine. Maybe you are not one, and I apologize if you are not. But too many people I talk to on boards or IRL lately keep trying to extrapolate Sweden to the US. There are differences that people do not consider about what might work in Sweden might not have worked here. Mandatory paid sick time, cultural behavior, etc are some. Heck even the high risk factors like a BMI over 30 are different (Sweden is only 16% of the population vs 40% in the US).
  5. The NCAA's procedure will be interesting to see who meets it or who does not by Fall. https://www.ncaa.org/sport-science-institute/core-principles-resocialization-collegiate-sport
  6. Threats from people in Stillwater, OK about being told to wear a mask in public.
  7. It would be nice if Sweden could make it work in their culture. It would mean there are working options But Americans are a whole different breed. This is the news from Stillwater, OK. People get threatening over having restrictions relaxed a little but being asked to wear a mask in public.
  8. The only thing is you also have to model/interpret the differences in countries and cultural behavior. This article this morning did a good job of laying out some of the differences between Sweden and the US. Just one excerpt: If Americans had more of the Swedish behavior and government support network mentioned then it would be a close analysis. But otherwise you have to do some massaging of the differences in the comparisons to see if it would worked here.
  9. The University President told students, faculty and staff this week that they have not decided yet but they are still looking at 3 options: Fully in-person classes A mix of in-person and online classes Fully online classes He said the least likely option will be fully in-person. The final decision is supposed to be made in mid to late May.
  10. If states are going to open up in phases it is going to take respect of other people's choices. This is not the way to do it.
  11. Well first, I thought WHO was now considered an organization with bad information. But they are right about Sweden? But additionally there are also many cultural differences. People in Sweden put more trust in each other and institutions. They also listen to government recommendations. For example, there is no mandatory childhood vaccination law in Sweden yet 97% of children receive vaccinations vs a lower percentage in the US.
  12. The drone shots do show social distancing on the beaches. But I think it may have as much to do with the beach being an attraction that causes people to not social distance elsewhere nearby. I don't know what the sidewalks and retail looked like next to the Orange County beaches. But I saw this photo from last weekend in Pismo Beach. The link is a photo of people waiting in line for clam chowder at Splash Cafe, one block from the beach in Pismo. No social distancing and no masks. You can see from the buildings there is no telephoto lens compression of the distance. City police had to respond to ask people to spread out on the sidewalk. https://www.sanluisobispo.com/latest-news/wclecy/picture242300376/alternates/FREE_768/Pismo Beach Crowds122
  13. I guess this is one way to replace Congress. But I thought we were supposed to have more testing capacity now.
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