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Nevada Convert

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Everything posted by Nevada Convert

  1. Dude, let me explain something to you. In 2015, His likability and favorability was around 30% amongst registered Republicans which was by far lower than any of the boat load of declared candidates. He was radioactive because of 2012/Obama fiasco. So he didn’t run. Now what do you think his favorability rated was a few months ago? Just 21% amongst registered Republicans. What is it now? Just a few points higher. Dude, Christie knows that 2012/Obama ruined his shot at being president, ever. To most GOP, it was unforgivable. He has zero chance and he knows it. This is his opportunity to be the big man in the spotlight to go after the big orange boogieman and have everyone on the left and GOP Trump haters cheer him on. But regardless if they’re happy he’s doing that, no one wants him to be president. Sorry.
  2. You’re completely delusional about CC. His absolute best case scenario ceiling is probably around 12 points. But what you don’t realize is that Republicans generally don’t like him. And Secondly, you seem to assume that just because somebody is ripping on someone, it’s going to do damage. That is a false assumption. Trump and DeSantis have been getting pounded by the MSM forever. Trump supporters don’t give a shit about what the MSM thinks. They also don’t give much of a shit what CC thinks. Let’s assume for a second that CC is liked in the GOP. The problem with being the only attack dog is that there’s a lot of damage that needs to be done to Trump, and that means a lot of attacking. But if you’re the only one doing it and you have to start early, you’re going to blow your effectiveness load early, and people will get used to him doing it, and it loses its impact and punch. Timing is everything in politics. The first bite of a cake is always the best, then it just declines after that.
  3. A decent % of those supporting Trump right now only do so because they see Trump as the only one that they see that has the name to win the general. And DeSantis is unproven, still green nationally and tries too hard. My miscalculation in predicting Trump would be doing worse than he is comes from the fact that he’s beating Biden last I checked the RCP average the other day. I expected Biden to be doing better and Trump worse. I expected Biden to be up 10 to 15 points at this point, and then it would change the dynamic that Trump is even electable in the general, and GOP voters could be more easily convinced to go with a Haley, Scott, etc. It’s still waaaaaay early, so…
  4. Nah, not even close. Another thing you’re missing is the long standing grudge against Christie for helping to give Obama the bump he needed days before the 2012 election when Romney was ahead by 5 points. Sandy hit NJ, and CC didn’t just meet with Obama. He gushed over him and used it to create an Obama bromance for his own political future in mind. And Obama saw the opportunity, as well, to look very presidential and in charge working with a Republican in a crisis. The last week before the election it knocked Romney right out of the news cycle, and all you saw was Obama and CC like long lost best friends just complimenting each other all the time. Without Sandy, no question Romney wins. Regardless of how CC dealt with Obama, it may have been enough of a lucky break, but the way CC chose to handle it, it was an absolute dagger to Romney. I know people that still hate CC for that. Some say it was CC payback for Romney not making him his VP pick. https://www.nationalreview.com/2016/02/chris-christie-barack-obama-2012-hurricane-sandy/
  5. Go for it, he’ll pick up some votes from the pissed never-Trumpers, but everyone knows he not running. His townhall was pretty bad because he didn’t spend any time on ideas to fix problems, he just rips Trump. That’s fine that we have an attack dog, but his ceiling is very low.
  6. It’s amazing how a person like you with such hardcore far left goggles on sees straight forward situations so bat shit crazy. What I said are basic facts that your shit goggles fvck up for you. You have no understanding of GOP politics or even basic political common sense. Christie is the only one in this lane because he’s the only one that’s not actually running for president. He’s pretending to so he’ll get the platform to blast him. The reason no one else is taking this strategy is not because they’re afraid of him, and not because they’re dumb. It’s because it only takes a 5 year old to determine the only possible path to victory this cycle or the next. With Trump gone eventually or maybe even this cycle, you have to draw a lot of Trump supporters in the primary and in the general to have any chance at all. What Christie is doing is political suicide if he were seriously running. Let’s say Trump dies today, and now Trump supporters have to pick a new candidate. Christie is the last person they’d vote for the way he’s gone after Trump. So he’s already committed political suicide. At this point, there isn’t anything any of the candidates can say to peel off that 30% of the GOP that’s hardcore Trump. So it would be crazy to get them to hate you.
  7. Christie is doing this for 2 reasons. 1. Revenge. He worked his ass off to get Trump elected in 2016, and Trump shows his appreciation by not offering him a job in his administration. Totally stiffed. 2. He loves the attention. He loves getting big props from the left and never Trumper’s as the brave hero that goes after Trump. Christie isn’t a loyal guy, and he does things for himself. Trump demands loyalty, and with Christie’s bad reputation in loyalty, I think that’s why Trump blew him off.
  8. Well, Prigozhin is a devil as is Putin, and you can’t trust the devil. Apparently, Putin was lying that he’d drop the criminal mutiny charges against him per a new report. Like I said before, one of these two have to go, and we’ll see who wins. https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/06/26/criminal-mutiny-charges-against-prigozhin-still-in-place-kommersant-a81638
  9. What kind of Wagner takes forever to die? A Robert Wagner (93)
  10. The masks that Wagner wears are more effective than their makeup.
  11. LOL, I was referring to your ineffective trolling posts towards “a handful of us” as in people that have been on the board lately. I didn’t say nor did I imply that “a handful of us” included Sean. You’ve certainly told more than 33 lies in the last week, though, killer. That’s for sure.
  12. Prigozhin was a serial burglar back in the late 70’s, served 9 years in prison, then operated a hotdog stand with his mommy when he got out. They actually made enough money to expand and started a restaurant and expanded into more. Then he got his ties to the whole corruption thing that gave him money to open more. In the late 90’s he created a nice floating restaurant and was so nice that he hosted Putin and Bush on a presidential visit. He met Putin in the mid-90’s and became close friends, and Putin helped him immensely, especially when he became President. Putin has had a lot of patience with him because they go way back to St. Petersburg where they both started. Then he put his money into all sorts of businesses and eventually Wagner in 2014. He’s basically been a chef and business guy, and he has no military background. Sure, the military guys he’s hired have taught him what he knows, so sure, I’m sure he’s not ‘military stupid’. The dude has a monster ego. Prigozhin is a corrupt shitty person, but he’s definitely intelligent. Even with corruption, you don’t get to where he is being stupid. Ultimately, I think he wants Putin’s job. IMHO, he’s been positioning for it. In his mind, I think he’s selling himself to the betrayed Russian soldiers/military at large, selling himself to the disgruntled Russian people that are tired of the war and Putin, selling himself to the West as a better option than Putin. That’s a bit delusional, but…..he has an arrest warrant on his ass in the US. Examples of his positioning: 1. Stating yesterday that the war was a big scam and that Ukraine and NATO were never a threat is a signal to the west that if he gets power, he’ll end the war. 2. Last month when that volunteer ex-US Special Forces fighter was killed, he praised him for his dedication to a cause when he could’ve chosen the easy retired life. He said he was sending his body to the US in a nice coffin with an American flag. 3. He’s gotten some of the Russian military on his side for his bravery in complaining about the endless dysfunctional issues that’s making them look like a joke. There’s more, but that’s good for now.
  13. Your welcome. My mission statement here is to keep it from being boring. So if I’m the butt of a joke or my corny jokes keep it from being boring, that’s fine with me.
  14. Someone better text Bob and let him know that the University of Idaho doesn’t need to be evacuated.
  15. To give you some context, utenation has decided to go into Cold War mode circa 2005 where he goes way over the top towards a handful of us saying anything he can think of to make you lose it. His last post isn’t an example, but you’ll know it when you see it.
  16. Only if he gave me an in person meeting where I could pass along Bob’s dick pics.
  17. You don’t need troops to destroy an armored column on a highway. Wagner is basically an infantry group with not a lot of armored vehicles and certainly no air power unless they’ve recruited other parts of the Russian military to his mutiny. Russia sure wishes they had some of our A-10 Warthogs. Wagner probably has some S300 air defense units staged along their convey. Otherwise they’re sitting ducks.
  18. Sounds like a Boise thing that I wouldn’t care about.
  19. I’ve never heard of Ontario, OR, and I doubt most on the board have, either. I’m sure everyone does know where Ontario is in Canada.
  20. I read it that people were driving north to Canada on a road west of Caldwell.
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