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Pac-12 isn’t aggressively pursuing schools now as it’s in the process of getting a better read of its likely media contract now that Gonzaga is in the mix. Once they get that, will likely take a 2nd bite of the apple with Memphis. Hang-up with the AAC schools is the $ 25 million exit fee of which the Pac-12 initially only offered to pay 10%. That will likely change when they go for a 2nd bite, but it’s not going to be anytime soon. Wished they had just merged with the MW early on and saved all the exit fees and heartache, but unfortunately that ship has sailed.
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The averages are for the public schools only, the assumption is that the private schools in a conference are on a par with the public schools in that same conference. Air Force is noted as "n/a" since it appears the three D1 service academies will not be participating in revenue sharing with their athletes.
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With the departure of the 10 PAC-12 schools to Mid-West & East Coast leagues there are significantly fewer late games available for telecast in the Pacific Coast time zone. With the MWC now the sole FBS league on the west coast you’d think it would get a decent bump in its Media contract renewal due to simple supply & demand.
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The 22% is the revenue sharing percentage going forward subject to the anticipated $ 21 million cap for 2025-26. The proposed $ 2.8 Billion Settlement for House v NCAA is separate. You can see a good summary at NIL-NCAA.com
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No MWC school will come anywhere close to the $ 21 million cap - the proposed revenue sharing model limits the amount per school to the lower of 22% of revenue or $ 21 million. Most MW schools would be eligible to share around $ 4 million with its athletes next year. just like the conference doesn’t dictate how much members must pay coaches or award scholarships, it won’t direct whether the schools must participate in the optional revenue sharing plan. But most schools are going to participate in revenue sharing, otherwise they will be at a significant disadvantage in recruiting.
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Of the $ 2.8 billion House settlement, the NCAA will pay 40% directly from reserve funds, and member schools will pay the other 60% via withheld NCAA distributions over the next 10 years. For whatever reason, non P5 schools will be paying a disproportionately high portion of the 60%. The $ 2.8 million includes over $600 million in fees to the plaintiffs lawyers.
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Under the proposed NCAA model, schools can share up to 22% of their revenue with athletes not to exceed the estimated $ 21 million 2025-26 cap. Based on the 22% limit, the average MWC school could share $ 4,369,661 with its athletes: https://nil-ncaa.com/mw/ Under the proposed model, participation is optional, schools could elect not to share revenues, or share less than the 22% limit. Of course not participating will likely put that school at a recruiting disadvantage. The school has complete discretion in how it distributes revenue sharing to its athletes.
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The USA Today report has good data, but its total revenue per school includes school funds (I.e. subsidies) and student fees which is why it appears most athletic departments break even. If you back out the school funding and student fees you’ll see that only 45 to 50 of the biggest schools make money or break even, and the remaining 300 + of the 362 total NCAA I schools lose money, some with significant annual deficits.
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Coug alum here and absolutely agree about the reverse merger with the MWC being the best option. Selling their souls for a slashed media share in either the Big 12 or ACC is a recipe for disaster. Standford and Cal may already be having remorse about joining the ACC, and Washington, USC and UCLA could very likely end up joining Rutgers, Maryland and Nebraska in having a dismal Big Ten experience. Wazzu & OSU have a great opportunity in teaming up with the MWC.
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It’s my understanding that the funds are all Wazzu’s & OSU’s since the other 10 schools are members of other conferences and no longer with the PAC-12. So theoretically they could vote to dissolve the conference and take the funds. But their current intent is to rebuild the conference, full reverse merger with the MWC really makes the most sense.
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While both Pullman and Corvallis are small, roughly half of Wazzu’s and OSU’s undergrads and alumni come from two very large media markets - Seattle & Portland.
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Coming from a Wazzu alum, I think a full MW merger makes the most sense. Would be very difficult to justify the steep exit penalties plus creating bad will from leaving some schools out - both Wazzu & OSU already know how this feels. I'd be leery about joining up with a temporarily patched-up ACC - it'd be short-term and the league would likely look like that Cantina scene in Star Wars rather than a group of schools that actually look like they belong together.
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I don’t disagree at all & I’m a Wazzu alum. WSU & OSU were the smaller budget land grant schools of the PAC-12. But since everyone else bolted the PAC-12 we at least end up with $ 150 million or so to cushion our transition. I think the MWC is a perfect fit for both schools and they should pursue this. Most of the other PAC-12 schools are likely going to have a rough go in their new conferences. While the 4 Big-12 schools should do fine, Stanford & Cal will have limited revenue and will be on an island in ACC. Oregon will do well in the Big Ten but I think the other 3 will have a disappointing Big Ten experience similar to Nebraska, Maryland & Rutgers. Wazzu & OSU should do a full merger with the MWC and together build the dominant western conference.
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Totally agree on the full merger and even though I’m a Wazzu alum I hope WSU & OSU drop the budget threshold talk. Too many athletic departments are already swimming in red ink and don’t need to be required to spend more on top of that. Wazzu & OSU are looking at a drop of $ 20 million in annual media revenue, they can cut their budgets and operate within the same parameters as most of the MW schools already do.
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Wazzu guy here, I also edit the NIL-NCAA site and have a heightened interest in this issue. Really think the best move for WSU & OSU is a full reverse merger with the MW & pay zero exit fees. MW had several teams ranked in both football and basketball last year, I think the conference would get decent media contracts and operate with reasonable budgets without drowning the AD in red ink. If Wazzu & OSU get an invite from an imploded ACC they’ll likely have to agree to a zero revenue share for a number of years which will create huge operating deficits. And for what benefit? Rutgers has run up $265 million in debt trying to compete in the Big Ten. Maryland & Nebraska booster contributions have sharply declined since they joined the Big Ten and they have unhappy fan bases. Wazzu & OSU should learn from these other schools, the MW would be an excellent fit for both schools and most likely the best option financially.