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Phil Steele's Week 1 predictions

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I receive Phil Steele's Power sweep newsletter and have for the last few years, it is a newsletter that predicts most of the scores of the games for the week of college football throughout the year and he lists his top picks in it each week as well. Obviously these are for betting purposes but he does give a predicted score to all the games.

He rates his top picks 4 stars , 3 stars and 2 stars with 4 being an excellent pick, 3 being a very good selection and 2 being a good selection. 4 stars is his top pick each week unless he has a rare 5 star which he has once a month. Here our his top picks for this week as well as other MWC games.

4 stars - Wyoming over Ohio - Ohio is 4-14 straight up in road openers (11-7 against the spread) but won the last two. Last Year the Bobcats led 23-6 in the 3rd q but the Cowboys scored w/2:02 left for a comeback win. Wyoming always opens the season strong under Glenn (4-1, 3 of the last 4 yrs) but they're 5-15 straight up in the last 4 games of the season the last 5 years which has kept them from numerous bowl bids . Glenn is 5-0 in straight up home openers ( team is 13-1) winning by an average of 35-5 as their altitude edge is heightened by being here the whole summer . Last year they took on a superior( Virginia team 9-4 and in a bowl game ) and destroyed them 23-3 with an amazing 27-5 first down edge. Glenn is 13-6 against the spread vs. non-conference (6-2 at home ) . They have 14 starters back and lost just 13 letterman while Ohio has 23 letterman lost and their kids may be thinking about playing at the Horseshoe next week. Ohio had a better record than Wyoming last year and runs some option just like Wyoming's conference opponent next week ( Air Force ) . The Cowboys will give this their full focus and win much easier than most expect .

Spread Wyoming -10

WYOMING 38 OHIO 13

3 stars USC -19 over Virginia 35 -3

3 stars Western Michigan +14 against Nebraska . Nebraska 30 - WMU 27

2 stars Louisiana Tech +8.5 against Mississsippis State. MSU 23- LT 20

2 stars Missouri -8.5 over Illinois - Missouri 34- Illinois 21

2 stars Arkansas ST. +20 over Texas A & M - Texas A&M 27- Arky ST. 17

Other MWC games -

UTAH +3 vs. Michigan - Utah is just 2-6 straight up in road openers and 3-8 striaght up on the road vs. bcs conference teaams in the regular season. These two met last in '02 when #14 Michigan barely escaped 10-7 at home. This sure looks like a rebuilding year for UM as they lost ALL of their skill players on offense, have to learn a completely new offensive system and then suffered even more player losses due to transfers. Their strength is the D which we rate # 7 in the country . Utah appears poised to make a run at the bcs bowl bid with a possible unbeaten season if they can get past this obstacle. QB Brian Johnson was not 100 % healthy last year but is now and he has two nfl caliber rb's 4 starters back on the O-Line thats averages 310 lbs and some top notch WR's . We rate their D # 30 but they did allow 374 ypg on the road in '07. Michigan has heard all summer that Utah could or should beat them here so they will be in an underdog mentality vs. a NON -BCS school! Rodriguez inherited a 7-5 team when he took over at WV and the team went from averaging 29.7 ppg to just 21.4 as they adjusted to his schemes and they were just 3-8, his only losing season there. Utah has our #3 rated special teams while UM is # 83 and that may be enough to give UTAH a win in the big house in a tight game .

Final UTAH 21 Michigan 20

TCU -6 vs UNM - In their 3 MWC meetings , TCU has dominated the Lobos winning by an average of 38-16. Patterson was the DC & safeties coach at UNM in '96 & '97. TCU is 11-3 against the spread in season opener but just 4-12 in conference openers (7-5 ats in road openers) . Last year's shutout by TCU marked the first time in 65 games (since '02) the NM did not score & their 1st shutout in conference play since '92. TCU is just 10-17-2 against the spread on the road and their only recent trip here squeaked out a 27-21 win (-6) in '06 in a game they led by 24 . The Lobos are 2-4 striaght up in season openers with 1 loss coming vs 1AA Portland St. NM is the only school in the MWC to be bowl eligible (with 6 wins every year since '01) but the Lobos are 1-6 straight up in MWC openers. The home team is 6-2-1 against the spread in this series. This is one of the frogs stronger teams with 15 starters back and they have our #29 offense and #18 defense . NM has just 10 returning starters and one of the key match ups is their young OL (1 returning starter ) vs our # 22 rated DL . This won't be easy but TCU has matched up well with New Mexico and is a much more experienced team.

Final TCU 24 UNM 17

UNLV -10 Utah St. - The Aggies have won their last 5 games played in Vegas since ' 89 & have won 9 of the last 11. Last year UNLV scored w/ 1:02 left for the win in Logan. UNLV is 9-5 vs. the WAC since leaving the league. UNLV is just 6-17 against the spread as a home favorite but has 14 starters back and they are thinking bowl this year. Utah St. has 15 returning starters and was 6-1 as an away dog in '07. They do have a new QB making his first road start . UNLV has only been a double digit favorite 4 times in the last 6 years and they lost all 4 against the spread and 2 outright. While the Rebels are the stronger team and at home we will call for a win and let the lines makers decide who we like .

Final UNLV 27- Utah St. 17

Colorado -12 vs. CSU - Ninth meeting in Denver (4-4) between these two . The last 6 have been decided by a combined 25 points ( none by more than a TD ) . Last year Colorado got a fg with : 13 left to force OT and won it . The dog has dropped two straight (by a combined 2 points) but was 9-1 against the spread prior. The Buffs have 14 returning starters and are now in the 3rd year of Hawkins tenure (traditionally when head coaches thrive ) while Fairchild is in his first year (Hawkins 2- 10 1st year ) . The Buffs have significant edges both on offense (#48 vs #103) and the defense (#42 vs # 101 ) . On paper the Buffs have the talent and the coaching ability to win by 17 + but the closeness of this rivalry and the tendancy for the dog to cover has us calling it closer.

Final Colorado 31- CSU 17

BYU, Air Force and San Diego St. are all playing 1AA teams so he did not do a write up on them as their is no line at most casino's.

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I receive Phil Steele's Power sweep newsletter and have for the last few years, it is a newsletter that predicts most of the scores of the games for the week of college football throughout the year and he lists his top picks in it each week as well. Obviously these are for betting purposes but he does give a predicted score to all the games.

He rates his top picks 4 stars , 3 stars and 2 stars with 4 being an excellent pick, 3 being a very good selection and 2 being a good selection. 4 stars is his top pick each week unless he has a rare 5 star which he has once a month. Here our his top picks for this week as well as other MWC games.

4 stars - Wyoming over Ohio - Ohio is 4-14 straight up in road openers (11-7 against the spread) but won the last two. Last Year the Bobcats led 23-6 in the 3rd q but the Cowboys scored w/2:02 left for a comeback win. Wyoming always opens the season strong under Glenn (4-1, 3 of the last 4 yrs) but they're 5-15 straight up in the last 4 games of the season the last 5 years which has kept them from numerous bowl bids . Glenn is 5-0 in straight up home openers ( team is 13-1) winning by an average of 35-5 as their altitude edge is heightened by being here the whole summer . Last year they took on a superior( Virginia team 9-4 and in a bowl game ) and destroyed them 23-3 with an amazing 27-5 first down edge. Glenn is 13-6 against the spread vs. non-conference (6-2 at home ) . They have 14 starters back and lost just 13 letterman while Ohio has 23 letterman lost and their kids may be thinking about playing at the Horseshoe next week. Ohio had a better record than Wyoming last year and runs some option just like Wyoming's conference opponent next week ( Air Force ) . The Cowboys will give this their full focus and win much easier than most expect .

Spread Wyoming -10

WYOMING 38 OHIO 13

3 stars USC -19 over Virginia 35 -3

3 stars Western Michigan +14 against Nebraska . Nebraska 30 - WMU 27

2 stars Louisiana Tech +8.5 against Mississsippis State. MSU 23- LT 20

2 stars Missouri -8.5 over Illinois - Missouri 34- Illinois 21

2 stars Arkansas ST. +20 over Texas A & M - Texas A&M 27- Arky ST. 17

Other MWC games -

UTAH +3 vs. Michigan - Utah is just 2-6 straight up in road openers and 3-8 striaght up on the road vs. bcs conference teaams in the regular season. These two met last in '02 when #14 Michigan barely escaped 10-7 at home. This sure looks like a rebuilding year for UM as they lost ALL of their skill players on offense, have to learn a completely new offensive system and then suffered even more player losses due to transfers. Their strength is the D which we rate # 7 in the country . Utah appears poised to make a run at the bcs bowl bid with a possible unbeaten season if they can get past this obstacle. QB Brian Johnson was not 100 % healthy last year but is now and he has two nfl caliber rb's 4 starters back on the O-Line thats averages 310 lbs and some top notch WR's . We rate their D # 30 but they did allow 374 ypg on the road in '07. Michigan has heard all summer that Utah could or should beat them here so they will be in an underdog mentality vs. a NON -BCS school! Rodriguez inherited a 7-5 team when he took over at WV and the team went from averaging 29.7 ppg to just 21.4 as they adjusted to his schemes and they were just 3-8, his only losing season there. Utah has our #3 rated special teams while UM is # 83 and that may be enough to give UTAH a win in the big house in a tight game .

Final UTAH 21 Michigan 20

TCU -6 vs UNM - In their 3 MWC meetings , TCU has dominated the Lobos winning by an average of 38-16. Patterson was the DC & safeties coach at UNM in '96 & '97. TCU is 11-3 against the spread in season opener but just 4-12 in conference openers (7-5 ats in road openers) . Last year's shutout by TCU marked the first time in 65 games (since '02) the NM did not score & their 1st shutout in conference play since '92. TCU is just 10-17-2 against the spread on the road and their only recent trip here squeaked out a 27-21 win (-6) in '06 in a game they led by 24 . The Lobos are 2-4 striaght up in season openers with 1 loss coming vs 1AA Portland St. NM is the only school in the MWC to be bowl eligible (with 6 wins every year since '01) but the Lobos are 1-6 straight up in MWC openers. The home team is 6-2-1 against the spread in this series. This is one of the frogs stronger teams with 15 starters back and they have our #29 offense and #18 defense . NM has just 10 returning starters and one of the key match ups is their young OL (1 returning starter ) vs our # 22 rated DL . This won't be easy but TCU has matched up well with New Mexico and is a much more experienced team.

Final TCU 24 UNM 17

UNLV -10 Utah St. - The Aggies have won their last 5 games played in Vegas since ' 89 & have won 9 of the last 11. Last year UNLV scored w/ 1:02 left for the win in Logan. UNLV is 9-5 vs. the WAC since leaving the league. UNLV is just 6-17 against the spread as a home favorite but has 14 starters back and they are thinking bowl this year. Utah St. has 15 returning starters and was 6-1 as an away dog in '07. They do have a new QB making his first road start . UNLV has only been a double digit favorite 4 times in the last 6 years and they lost all 4 against the spread and 2 outright. While the Rebels are the stronger team and at home we will call for a win and let the lines makers decide who we like .

Final UNLV 27- Utah St. 17

Colorado -12 vs. CSU - Ninth meeting in Denver (4-4) between these two . The last 6 have been decided by a combined 25 points ( none by more than a TD ) . Last year Colorado got a fg with : 13 left to force OT and won it . The dog has dropped two straight (by a combined 2 points) but was 9-1 against the spread prior. The Buffs have 14 returning starters and are now in the 3rd year of Hawkins tenure (traditionally when head coaches thrive ) while Fairchild is in his first year (Hawkins 2- 10 1st year ) . The Buffs have significant edges both on offense (#48 vs #103) and the defense (#42 vs # 101 ) . On paper the Buffs have the talent and the coaching ability to win by 17 + but the closeness of this rivalry and the tendancy for the dog to cover has us calling it closer.

Final Colorado 31- CSU 17

BYU, Air Force and San Diego St. are all playing 1AA teams so he did not do a write up on them as their is no line at most casino's.

Good post

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