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About thelawlorfaithful

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    Big Hero of the One Liners
  • Birthday 01/28/1986

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    Reno, NV

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  1. Game Thread: Alabama Senate Race

    This ain’t a knife fight. @youngrebelfan40 recently recommended me a tome about the southern representatives to Congress that made me feel my connection to classical liberalism hardly ever coincided with their championing of it, I am always forming my thoughts on matters, especially respective to those events I wasn’t aware enough to understand, let alone not born for. The South seems completely weird to me in the confines of a classical liberalism. They used the veneer of “Freedom” to enforce authoritarianism. Our politically elected representatives in Washington let this go on for political game. So I basically know shit about how a person growing up in the south, rural or urban, relates to a hillbilly from rural Nevada.
  2. Game Thread: Alabama Senate Race

    I got some things I disagree with this post, especially regarding the swing rightward of the south in the 90’s, especially concerning the David Duke element. But i’m gonna think on it. The South historically seems a very different place than what I have experienced elsewhere. I don’t think you’re right about that place and that time, but I don’t know anything for a certainty. I’m gonna read what I can and reflect upon it.
  3. Roy Moore

    The GOP is irreparably split it seems to me. Moore snuck in between a battle between the establishment (Strange) and the more classic liberal (Brooks). Then during the General it became known he was allegedly a pedophile. I don’t think this is the wake up, unless that wake up is needed to not run possible pedophiles.
  4. Game Thread: Alabama Senate Race

    Trump is a joke of a person. We could only wish for a W or Romney type. The policies aren’t that different, disagree with them as one may, but Trump is a total failure as the representative of the American people to the world.
  5. Game Thread: Alabama Senate Race

    I don’t think Bush 1 is very Goldwaterian other than he tried to somewhat maintain his predecessors policies. HW was an old Rockafeller Republican his whole life. The Reagan effect surely had some affect on he and Dole to be sure, but Bush was a moderate who just didn’t have it against a superstar moderate like Bill. Whatever the Duke faction was at the time, it was minuscule when it comes to the election of W. He won by attracting socially conservative Hispanics, not white supremacists.
  6. Game Thread: Alabama Senate Race

    The GOP lost their minds, in the right way, when they adopted Goldwater. The Falwell platform, combined with the Goldwater platform, is what ushered in Reagan. The Duke platform doesn’t exist, he is unlike even a scumbag like Falwell.
  7. Game Thread: Alabama Senate Race

    Yes, but I’d add the financial crisis and economic cratering is what sealed the deal. Any Democrat would’ve won at that time.
  8. Game Thread: Alabama Senate Race

    None. The Bush people like Powell and Rice were tainted with Iraq. The young guns ushered in during the 2010 wave had no national presence. McCain already lost, and the old guard was old. Rick Perry wasn’t half the politician W was. So that left Romney vs Newt, a crazy person who is an impossibly creative but is such a villain that the milquetoast Mitt had to win. As Blues said, Romney was the flag bearer of mainstream conservative thought, but was too cold, too rich, and too uncharismatically normal to make any waves against a star like Obama, even though his administration was a mess that could have been had in 2012.
  9. Game Thread: Alabama Senate Race

    I’d be careful about the demographics is destiny path. All evidence to support it rests on Obama, a charismatically brilliant politician that could generate voter turnout by his particular involvement in a national election alone. A person like that is not easily found. Remove him, and the Dems have to go back 50+ years to find another Presidential success in that way, one that wasn’t based on moderation or the disgrace of the opposing party. There is more to Joe Bob than what you assume. If the Dems cast that all aside, they might be doomed.
  10. Game Thread: Alabama Senate Race

    I know a lot of Trump voters like that and my experience is much the same. But while some may have refrained from going out to vote for Romney, they aren’t the type who would vote for Obama twice and then switch over to Trump. In rural Nevada the Democrats haven’t spoken their language for many decades. The blue collar whites in the Midwest are a bit different, they grew up with generations of their family voting for Democrats. Your point about the media seems spot on to me. They love Trump hammering them. They love it even more where like last week multiple mainstream stories give the media a black eye by rushing to break something that turns out to be misleading or false, and then Trump and Fox get to hit them with it. CP is right though, these aren’t the type of people, in my experience, you can dig down on Adam Smith with. Most don’t have any clue as to who he was. The GOP was getting their support almost by accident, they didn’t know how to talk to their baser, petty desires to attack those they saw as wrong. Trump understood that intuitively.
  11. Game Thread: Alabama Senate Race

    All of this is on point. The sifting and forming of new coalitions seems likely to leave those like us without a party. That Democrat primary is going to be fascinating. Everyone with ambition will need to throw their hat in the ring after stepping aside for Clinton last go around. They can’t risk sitting out another presidential cycle, especially if the Dem wins the White House. That’d make 2028 the soonest next chance for likely challengers, and the Dems are notoriously old. Who will voters coalesce around? Will anyone be able to put their economic message ahead of the identity politics like Bernie did, or will there be multiple candidates gunning for that lane that cannabalize each other? And what of Bernie, does he run again and hope to retain the 2016 magic against more formidable opponents than Hillary? If he plays kingmaker, will he pick the right horse? And how easily can Dems win back those blue collar whites they lost to Trump after calling them idiots and deplorables for a few years?
  12. Game Thread: Alabama Senate Race

    Drudge is going to be hammering Bannon in the coming days. It’ll be interesting to see how much sway among the base Bannon retains.
  13. Game Thread: Alabama Senate Race

    https://mobile.nytimes.com/2017/03/28/upshot/a-2016-review-turnout-wasnt-the-driver-of-clintons-defeat.html?_r=0&referer=https://fivethirtyeight-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-one-county-in-america-that-voted-in-a-landslide-for-both-trump-and-obama/amp/?amp_js_v=0.1&usqp=mq331AQGCAEYASAB In the aftermath of the 2016 presidential election, many analysts suggested that Hillary Clinton lost to Donald J. Trump because of poor Democratic turnout. Months later, it is clear that the turnout was only modestly better for Mr. Trump than expected. To the extent Democratic turnout was weak, it was mainly among black voters. Even there, the scale of Democratic weakness has been exaggerated. Instead, it’s clear that large numbers of white, working-class voters shifted from the Democrats to Mr. Trump. Over all, almost one in four of President Obama’s 2012 white working-class supporters defected from the Democrats in 2016, either supporting Mr. Trump or voting for a third-party candidate.
  14. Mountain West Basketball Week 6: December 11th - 17th

    Wyoming pulls it out in overtime.